New Politico survey reveals 21% of independent voters are less likely to vote for Donald Trump in the 2024 election because of his felony conviction last monthGood morning, US politics blog readers. From the Access Hollywood tape to January 6, Donald Trump has repeatedly been associated with the sorts of scandals that would have sunk other politicians’ careers, but did not stop his rise to the White House, nor his once again becoming the GOP’s presumptive presidential nominee this year. Yet the evidence continues to mount that the title “convicted felon”, which he gained after a New York City jury found him guilty of 34 business fraud charges in May, may make a difference with the sorts of voters expected to decide his November election rematch against Joe Biden. Politico Magazine and Ipsos today released a survey showing that 21% of independents were less likely to vote for Trump because of his conviction, while a mere 5% said it made them more likely to support him.Recent polls of swing states have showed a neck-and-neck contest between the current and former president. While plenty can change between now and November, the poll’s findings raise the possibility that the election could come down to how small groups of voters swing. Independents are one such group, and if they continue to be turned off by his criminal conviction, it could give Biden the edge.Biden holds a White House meeting with Nato secretary general Jens Stoltenberg at 3.30pm. Expect lots of talk about Ukraine and Russia.The first presidential debate is in 10 days, and the Biden campaign is targeting Trump with a $50m barrage of ads over his felony conviction, to be aired in the days leading up to their parlay.Trump continues to hype up his pick for vice-president, though he has yet to announce a decision. Ohio senator JD Vance, New York congresswoman Elise Stefanik, South Carolina senator Tim Scott and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum are said to be in the mix, with an announcement likely closer to the Republican national convention next month. Continue reading…
New Politico survey reveals 21% of independent voters are less likely to vote for Donald Trump in the 2024 election because of his felony conviction last month
Good morning, US politics blog readers. From the Access Hollywood tape to January 6, Donald Trump has repeatedly been associated with the sorts of scandals that would have sunk other politicians’ careers, but did not stop his rise to the White House, nor his once again becoming the GOP’s presumptive presidential nominee this year. Yet the evidence continues to mount that the title “convicted felon”, which he gained after a New York City jury found him guilty of 34 business fraud charges in May, may make a difference with the sorts of voters expected to decide his November election rematch against Joe Biden. Politico Magazine and Ipsos today released a survey showing that 21% of independents were less likely to vote for Trump because of his conviction, while a mere 5% said it made them more likely to support him.
Recent polls of swing states have showed a neck-and-neck contest between the current and former president. While plenty can change between now and November, the poll’s findings raise the possibility that the election could come down to how small groups of voters swing. Independents are one such group, and if they continue to be turned off by his criminal conviction, it could give Biden the edge.
Biden holds a White House meeting with Nato secretary general Jens Stoltenberg at 3.30pm. Expect lots of talk about Ukraine and Russia.
The first presidential debate is in 10 days, and the Biden campaign is targeting Trump with a $50m barrage of ads over his felony conviction, to be aired in the days leading up to their parlay.
Trump continues to hype up his pick for vice-president, though he has yet to announce a decision. Ohio senator JD Vance, New York congresswoman Elise Stefanik, South Carolina senator Tim Scott and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum are said to be in the mix, with an announcement likely closer to the Republican national convention next month.
